The mathematical truth
Lower bars mean better games for the player. Hover or tap any game name for the full guide.
Personal cost calculator
Your expected loss
Enter how much you bet and see how the cost differs between games.
For R1,000 wagered across these games
| Game | House Edge | Expected Loss | Your Take-home |
|---|
The complete reference table
| Game | House Edge | Notes | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackjack (basic strategy) | 0.50% | Skill-based; full charts here | The lowest edge in the casino, by far |
| Video Poker (full-pay) | 0.50% | Optimal strategy required | Excellent for skilled players |
| Baccarat (Banker bet) | 1.06% | No skill required | Low effort, decent odds |
| Craps (Pass Line) | 1.41% | With odds bets, lower | Above-average game |
| Aviator / Crash games | 3.00% | Provably fair, fixed RTP | Better than slots, worse than tables |
| European Roulette | 2.70% | Single zero | Acceptable if enjoyable |
| Sic Bo (Big/Small) | 2.78% | Wins on totals 4 to 10 or 11 to 17, loses on any triple | Other Sic Bo bets are far worse, up to about 30% |
| American Roulette | 5.26% | Avoid: double zero | Twice the edge of European |
| Slots (typical online) | 5.00% | Varies; check RTP | Entertainment, not value |
| Slots (low RTP) | 12.00% | Some bonus games | Mathematically poor |
| Keno | 30.00% | Varies wildly | Worst odds in casino |
Reading this chart properly
The house edge column shows the share of every rand bet that the casino expects to keep on average over millions of bets. Lower is better. What most players miss is that the edge applies to the total amount you bet, not to the money you start with. Bet R10,000 in total over a long session at a 0.5% edge and your expected loss is about R50. Bet the same R10,000 on slots at an 8% edge and it is R800. The total you bet is what drives the cost.
The three tiers of casino games
Tier 1: under 2% house edge
Blackjack with basic strategy, full-pay video poker, baccarat (Banker bet), craps with odds bets. These are the only games in any casino where a disciplined player can have a session-long entertainment experience without being mathematically punished. Always available at SA casinos; always worth knowing.
Tier 2: 2-5% house edge
European roulette, Sic Bo Big/Small, Aviator and crash games, baccarat (Player bet). Acceptable for casual entertainment if you enjoy them. The maths is workable in moderation but the bleed is real over time.
Tier 3: 5%+ house edge
American roulette, most slots, most Sic Bo bets other than Big/Small, and Keno. These games cost you more quickly. Play them as occasional entertainment with strict limits, not as your main game. It is no coincidence that they are often the most heavily marketed and eye-catching games in a casino.
The one rule
If you're going to play casino games, play Tier 1 by default. Branch into Tier 2 occasionally. Treat Tier 3 as occasional entertainment with explicit session caps. The combination of low edge + skill development on Tier 1 games (especially blackjack and video poker) is the only way to keep casino play sustainable as a long-term hobby rather than a slow bleed.
Continue learning
- All casino game guides: rules and strategy for each game.
- Bankroll calculator: size your stakes properly.
- All guides: every guide on the site.
- Glossary: every term defined.